Modeling of Agricultural Systems [AGS721]

LAB 3


Relationship between variables: Curve fitting

1. Given observed rice yield corresponse to nitrogen application rate in the table below:

Nitrogen (kg/ha)

Grain yield (kg/ha)

0

5500

25

5700

50

6400

75

6600

100

6800

125

7000

150

7100

175

7000

200

6300

225

6100


Construct an empirical model that explain the relationship between rice yield and the nitrogen application rate. From the model, what is the optimum nitrogen rate ?


2. The following table illustrates the observation of corn mean total dry weight per plant and mean total leaf area per plant, (a) construct the mathematical function to describe the dynamic change of both variables through time (b) give reason(s) why you decide to use the function used in a.


Day in the year

Mean total dry wt per plant (g.)

Mean total leaf area per plant (m2)

140

0.3282

n.a.

148

0.328

n.a.

155

0.287

n.a.

162

0.255

0.00179

169

0.308

0.00292

176

0.637

0.01244

183

2.319

0.04192

190

4.654

0.07622

197

9.019

0.1301

204

20.001

0.2136

211

34.557

0.2805

218

57.587

0.3384

225

70.095

0.3047

232

85.165

0.3025

239

111.649

0.2976

246

124.76

0.2684

253

121.99

0.2387

Source: Kreusler, Prehn and Hornberger (1879)

 

3. Given data on grain yield (kg/ha) of wheat from USA and the former USSR during 1950-1982 -- (a) compare and describe the dynamic behavior of wheat grain yield of both countries during that period (b) project grain yield in the next 10 years (1983-1993). Do you think your projection results are resonable ? Why ?


Year USA USSR Year USA USSR
1950 1600 800 1966 3000 1300
1951 1600 800 1967 3200 1200
1952 1700 900 1968 3200 1300
1953 1600 800 1969 3500 1300
1954 1700 800 1970 3200 1600
1955 1800 900 1971 3700 1500
1956 2000 1000 1972 3900 1400
1957 2100 800 1973 3700 1800
1958 2400 1100 1974 3000 1500
1959 2300 1100 1975 3500 1000
1960 2500 1100 1976 3500 1700
1961 2500 1100 1977 3700 1500
1962 2700 1100 1978 4000 1800
1963 2800 800 1979 4400 1500
1964 2700 1100 1980 3800 1600
1965 3000 1000 1981 4300 1300
1982 4400 1400

 

References:

Gomez, K.A. and A.A. Gomez. 1976. Statistical Procedures for Agricultural Research, with Emphasis on Rice. The International Rice Research Institute, Los Banos, Philippines.

Hunt, R. Plant Growth Analysis: The Rationale Behind the Use of the Fitted Mathematical Function. 1979. Ann. Bot. 43,245-249.


Web Site:

Food and Agriculturure Organization of the United Nations


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